Thursday, 10 April 2008

Subprime Updates

Fitch published an estimate of $3-4b in D&O losses from subprime. See press coverage here. Echoing what Advisen published long ago and agreeing with Advisen's stated opinion that losses will be felt by a handful of large underwriters, Fitch said they didn't see a change in overall premium rates.

I have written about the imbalance of broad market supply and demand (here) as too great for even several multiples of the $3.6b estimate insured loss. Next up for Advisen is update this estimate and to include Errors & Omissions losses.

Meanwhile back at the plaintiffs bar ranch, Advisen is tracking 269 subprime and credit crisis-related lawsuits, of which 62 are Securities Class Actions used in modelling insured D&O losses. This count continues to climb.

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